Trump falls into the Zio-trap to become a diplomatic pariah and military fiasco
Sun 4:26 pm +00:00, 3 May 2026Siege of Iran not going well. Ground assault next? But what about the weather? In Russia, it was General Winter that defeated invaders. In Iran, General Summer is coming, and American forces will struggle in extreme heat which they are not prepared for, or equipped for.
The Israeli plan was for a quick victory before summer attacked. Too late. Trump is trapped.
The whole plan was a cock up from the beginning.
The US and the UK have abandoned international law, but the rest of the world hasn’t done so.
Now as for oil, China’s had enough. The Chinese will no more abide by US sanctions against Russia, and will buy Russian oil. Threats of 100% tariffs from Trump be damned. Russia has been steadily positioning itself as China’s main supplier of energy for a while, using pipeline Siberia 1. Now Siberia 2 is being built in great haste. Shipping oil to China goes by sea, and Russia today is China’s biggest supplier. Russia sells little of anything to the USA after four years of war.
India promised to stop buying Russian oil, but continued. Trump imposed tariffs as a result, and India claimed Russian imports ceased, but of course it continued. China can’t be bothered with fakery. China is not bothered by US tariff threats, and is now telling its biggest refiners to buy Russian and Iranian oil.
China will protect its refineries against the US military. China is not complying with US sanctions from hereon.
The US navy has been wary of stopping Iranian oil shipments to China. The Chinese navy is the biggest in the world and will deal militarily with the US if the US were to start interfering with shipping between Iran and China. US losses would be highly significant and Trump so far has backed down.
The Russians are exporting oil more – to the Philippines, to Malaysia and to Indonesia, and to Japan. Putin will visit China shortly after Trump goes there. Trump ‘s operations in Iran have not been as successful as hoped, and he is visiting in a weak position, Trump felt humiliated after his visit to South Korea last year (?) and ordered his attack on Iran to demonstrate power, but it’s failed.
Putin’s visit, on the other hand, will focus on greater cooperation. Lukianov writing in Russian media says Chinese leadership has undertaken a strategic reassessment of its relations with the US, seeking no longterm agreements as they see the US today as unreliable with the US having no ability to maintain dialogue, either under Biden and under Trump.
China is leaning more towards Russia, despite having tried not to take sides with Russia’s Ukrainian war so far. The direct instruction from the government to the refiners to ignore US sanction demands, suggests that Lukianov’s assessment seems to have validity. Inviting Putin to China just after Trump goes, means Xi can assess whether the China/US relationship has any future now the US is seen as agreement incapable. The Iran conflict in obeyance opens up a chnace for Trump to head to China, to survey the damage he’s done to US/China relations. Trump may cancel his trip if the war breaks out again. Iran only agreed to the ceasefire under Chinese pressure. Putin’s visit to China seems much more likely to be significant.
If Putin and Xi move closer, the US is by far the least powerful of the three militarily, and will progressively lose influence and control.
Russia’s economy is benefiting from the Hormuz situation, with inflation falling to 4% in Russia. Large numbers of North Korean guest workers are arriving in Russia, boosting Russian output and North Korea’s economy. Russia’s confidence is rising as the economy improves. The war in Ukraine could start to accelerate in Russia’s favour. Konstantinovka is close to falling as a cauldron emerges – so far ignored by western media – part of the last surviving defence line in Donbass. After Konstantinovka falls there is no further barrier against Russian advance to the West, exposing Kiev.
