The Limits of Ukraine’s Offensive and the High Price to Pay When it Ends
Wed 5:25 pm +00:00, 5 Oct 20225 Oct 2022 Update on Russian operations in Ukraine for October 5, 2022
– Latest US aid package falls far short of replacing steep Ukrainian losses amid continued offensives;
– Ukraine’s offensive has limited capabilities, will not achieve “victory” over Russian forces in territory deemed “Ukrainian” by Kiev;
– Ukrainian offensive is an “all-or-nothing” proposition, hoping to achieve psychological and political gains toward ending the conflict in ways Ukrainian military force cannot;
– Western analysts celebrate the psychological impact the offensive is having on pro-Russian media, pundits, and even prominent members of Russian society;
– In reality, Ukraine will be left overextended and vulnerable just as Russia’s 300,000-strong mobilization begins shaping the battlefield.
References:
US Department of Defense – $625 Million in Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine Oct. 4, 2022: https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases…
US DoD – Pentagon Press Secretary Brigadier General Pat Ryder and Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Laura K. Cooper Hold a Press Briefing Oct. 4, 2022: https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcri…
Washington Post – Wounded Ukrainian soldiers reveal steep toll of Kherson offensive: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/…
NY Times – In Ukraine’s South, Fierce Fighting and Deadly Costs: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/24/wo…
Business Insider – The US has given Ukraine nearly 1 million 155 mm artillery shells. Now it’s looking for US companies to build more of them.: https://www.businessinsider.com/us-wa…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pONjlORXdFQ
