War is Inevitable: Washington Has Handed Over the Donbass War to Berlin

 Sat 8:11 am +00:00, 26 Sep 2026  

posted by pete fairhurst 2

 

Source: https://slavlandchronicles.substack.com/p/war-is-inevitable-washington-has

Beneath all the Trump social media bluster, there was a serious Deep State push happening behind the scenes under the Trump regime to offload the Donbass war to EUrope, and to refocus on the Middle East. We are in the middle of a massive reshuffling of priorities, troop deployments, and primary targets. Washington is drawing down in EUrope, and moving assets to the Middle East. EUrope has been told that they are now responsible for fighting the Donbass war.

The Pentagon told them as much in their 2026 National Defense Strategy statement:

The most important line in the transatlantic debate is not coming from Brussels, Ottawa, Paris or Berlin.

It is coming from the Pentagon.

The 2026 National Defense Strategy says the quiet part out loud: America is changing the bargain with its allies. The United States will still remain engaged abroad, but it will no longer treat every theater as America’s first responsibility. The new hierarchy is clear: defend the homeland, deter China in the Indo-Pacific, increase allied burden-sharing, and rebuild the defense industrial base.

That is the real story behind Europe’s sudden defense awakening.

European leaders would rather describe this as a response to an unpredictable President Donald Trump. Recent reporting from Europe captured the mood after Trump announced plans to withdraw 5,000 U.S. troops from Germany, reporting that European lawmakers feared Washington was moving toward a more “unpredictable and transactional” approach to alliances amid tensions over the Iran war.

That story is not entirely false. It is just too flattering to Europe.

Trump has been signaling this shift since his first term, and with renewed force since returning to office in 2025. Now the administration has turned it into doctrine. The Pentagon’s 2026 National Defense Strategy makes clear that the old transatlantic bargain is being rewritten. Its four priorities are defending the American homeland, deterring China in the Indo-Pacific, increasing allied burden-sharing, and rebuilding the U.S. defense industrial base. Its treatment of Europe is even more direct: Russia is described as a serious but manageable threat, and European allies are expected to assume primary responsibility for their conventional defense with “critical but more limited” U.S. support.

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The Pentagon strategy says it will strengthen incentives for allies to take “primary responsibility for their own defense” in Europe, the Middle East and Korea, with “critical but limited support” from U.S. forces. It also says Washington will prioritize cooperation with “model allies,” meaning those spending what they need to and doing visibly more against threats in their own regions.

These “model allies” are just Israel, as far as I can tell.

This is not unpredictability. It is prioritization, written into strategy. Perhaps “unpredictable” is simply the word Europe uses when Washington becomes predictable in a way it dislikes. And Iran has made that prioritization visible faster than Europe expected.

(…)

Europe’s answer showed the gap.

After Iran responded to U.S.-Israeli attacks with drones, missiles and mines that effectively closed the channel for tankers carrying about a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas, EU foreign ministers discussed whether to expand the bloc’s Aspides naval mission toward Hormuz. Kaja Kallas said there was a “clear wish” to strengthen Aspides because it did not have enough naval assets, but “no appetite” to change the mandate.

It was the European dilemma in miniature.

EUROPE STEPS UP TO FUND ITS OWN DEFENSE, PROVIDE SECURITY FOR UKRAINE AFTER TRUMP THREATS

Europe is exposed enough to need security, but not yet organized or willing enough to supply it at scale. It wants more autonomy, but autonomy requires ships, mandates, stockpiles, command structures and political willingness to accept risk. Europe is too exposed to remain strategically underbuilt. While it may have spoken for years about an anchor of the global order, institutions alone cannot create a global order. The military and industrial backing for it, is what needs to be a shared burden. Soemthign that Trump has been pushing through as a message relentlessly.

After Iran, it appears that Europe is finally getting the memo.

Kallas’ own language shows the shift. In 2025, European leaders still spoke of strategic autonomy as an aspiration. Europe had to become more geopolitical, more sovereign, more capable. By January 2026, after Washington had made its defense priorities unmistakable, Kallas’ wording had hardened. Europe, she said, was no longer Washington’s primary center of gravity. After Iran, she admitted that the shift was “structural, not temporary.” NATO, she added, needed to become “more European” to stay strong.

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The only serious path is a heavier European pillar inside NATO. That does not mean fantasy independence from the United States. It means Europe must assume far more conventional military responsibility in its own theater, while the U.S. preserves the strategic backing and irreplaceable capabilities that allies cannot easily replicate. NATO Secretary Rutte has been blunt about the limit. If anyone thinks Europe can defend itself without the United States, he told European lawmakers, they should “keep on dreaming.” Europe and America still need each other.

That is a serious statement. It is also an admission.

In February, Pentagon policy chief Elbridge Colby told NATO defense ministers that “NATO 3.0” requires allies to “step up and assume primary responsibility for the conventional defence of Europe.” He added that Europe should field the preponderance of the forces needed to deter, and if necessary defeat, conventional aggression in Europe. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte called the meeting pivotal, pointing to a “real shift in mindset” and a stronger European defense within NATO.

TRUMP’S NATO WARNING PUSHES EUROPE TO FACE THE COST OF DEFENDING ITSELF

That is the practical direction of travel.

Not Europe leaving America or America abandoning NATO, but Europe carrying more weight because Washington has made clear it will not carry the old load on the old terms.

European officials are beginning to translate that into capability language. EU defense commissioner Andrius Kubilius told European lawmakers that Europe depends on America for strategic enablers such as space intelligence data and air-to-air refueling. Europe, he said, must be ready to replace American enablers with European ones, making that a strategic priority. He also stressed that European responsibility means strengthening Europe’s posture inside NATO.

(…)

Europe has gotten the memo. While most American attention has been focused on Iran as a theater, a multi-theater reordering of Europe is getting fortified with real policy and projects now across military, industrial and other spheres, as I will discuss in upcoming pieces. European officials may try describing the result as a response to American unreliability. But the reorganization was not something Europe simply discovered on its own. It was pushed, structured, and accelerated by Washington’s new strategy. The Pentagon put it in writing. Iran made it impossible to ignore. The reset is now moving from theater to reality.

So, just to review, this report confirms the following:

• Israel is the top priority; Israel is the “model ally” and the EUropeans are not
• EUrope is expected to remilitarize and take over the Donbass war
• This NATO 3.0 is a reordering of the post-Cold War NATO structure
• Marco Rubio is running the ship, apparently.

Germany is already starting to get the ball rolling, preparing for mass mobilization.

Here:

The German Bundeswehr has already begun mandatory medical examinations for 18-year-old men, even if they have stated that they do not want to serve in the military.

According to the German Ministry of Defense, since July, nearly 1,000 men born in 2008 have undergone this mandatory check-up, despite explicitly indicating in their questionnaires that they are not interested in military service. The number of such examinations is planned to be gradually increased.

Mass mandatory medical examinations for all men of this age are scheduled to begin in July 2027, when the Bundeswehr will establish 24 specialized centers. It is important to note that this mandatory medical examination does not necessarily mean compulsory military service; the new military service system remains voluntary for now.

Since the beginning of 2026, the Bundeswehr has also been sending questionnaires to all 18-year-old Germans, asking about their health, education, and willingness to serve. Men are required to complete these questionnaires, while women are not. By the end of August, approximately 96% of men and only 3.5% of women had submitted their responses.

#draftourbitches

#itsherturn(todie)

#genzbossandamini(gun)

…

So, in 2025 Trump makes it a top priority to reorganize NATO so that the EUropeans fight Russia while America is free to fight in the Middle East. By May of 2026, the Pentagon puts forward its official policy statement to that effect. Now, by 2027, we will have 24 new German military centers performing “health check-ups”. And, the Pentagon has pulled out 5000 of the 40,000 American troops stationed in Germany.

Connect the dots here, people.

If you’re not looking forward to getting drafted to fight in yet another north Eurasian plain mass cull, then I strongly suggest getting out of these countries while they still are allowing young men to leave and not confiscating passports. A provision in Germany’s updated Military Service Modernization Act, effective January 1, 2026, requires all male German nationals aged 17 to 45 to obtain approval from the Bundeswehr before leaving the country for more than three months. This law reactivates a dormant Cold War-era regulation that was suspended when conscription was paused in 2011.

Enforcement mechanisms sit in passport law: §7 of the Passgesetz allows passport denial on military-service grounds; §10 allows the border police to prohibit departure. Approximately nine million German male nationals between 17 and 45 are within scope. The Frankfurter Rundschau brought the broader peacetime applicability into public discussion in early April; Pistorius’s 7 April public statement suspended the notification requirement by ministerial directive within days.

The structural element is not the suspension but the preservation of the statutory framework. Pistorius’s directive can be reversed by ministerial directive without further parliamentary action; the underlying legal authority — passport denial, border-police departure prohibition, sanctions enforcement for non-compliance — remains in force in peacetime, backed by enforceable mechanisms regardless of current ministry assurances. The Bundeswehr’s published 2029 Russian-assault horizon for the Baltic states is the reference timeline that any future reactivation would be measured against. A configuration first surfaced in Signal No. 32.

Please, stop burying your heads in the sand.

Forget the promise of peace and understanding. The future holds only slaughter. And if you think the videos coming out of Ukraine of snatchers kidnapping men and sending them off in handcuffs to the trenches is horrific, well, wait until you see what your own secret police has in store for you.

Think COVID lockdowns except it will be men getting hauled onto buses.

…

They say hindsight is 20/20, but foresight is where the game is really at.

I think, looking back from 2040 to these crucial years, we will all regret not doing everything in our power to prevent the cull that is coming, followed by the draconian clampdowns on self-organization and the like.

But, well, whattaya gonna do. It is what it is. As it was, so it shall be.

Me, I want to blame New Age thinking for this complete inability or reluctance to engage with what I am saying here on the blog. But I also don’t want to overstress the point. This is just a pet peeve of mine and me trying to explain a phenomenon that isn’t easy to put into words.

Basically: people generally seem afraid to think of something lest they “manifest” it.