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Some interesting points from Mr Orlov
Geopolitics isn’t a profession, it’s a talking shop
Syria is a piece of paper on a map, it’s not a country, the map was drawn by the Brits and French after the fall of the Ottomans. It’s a tribal society not a country. Ditto all the other Arab nations
Assad is an ophthalmologist, not a dictator
Iran stopped delivering oil to Syria in 2023 so it’s collapse was inevitable
The Arab project is ending, Libya, Iraq, Syria already gone. When Egypt collapses it will be over. Collapse and depopulation will be the trend
Syria has valuable phosphates which are exploited by Russia with Trump family help. His daughter is married to the billionaire in question
Syria and the Shia crescent was an Iran vanity project. Syria has nothing to offer except oil which the US exploits, and phosphates which Trump family and Russia exploit
The only reason Russia got involved with Syria was the ISIS threat. It used a now defunct private military company [Wagner I assume]. ISIS remnant now runs Syria. War technology has moved on, missiles and drones, so no worries. Control can be by remote control
Syrians don’t fight, the “army” organises checkpoints to fleece the locals. Useless military, collapse not unexpected in Russia
Tartus is not a good base. Plenty of other options. Why bother, bases are expensive. Russian point of view is keep an eye on Syria and act by remote control if they get out of hand
Turkey and Russia? Force majeure, Assad quit, if there is no Syria it doesn’t matter. Syria is not a thing, it’s null and void. Turkey is a gas hub for Russia. Russia is building power plants for Turkey. Turkey is a Russia tourist destination. Turkey sell lots of fruit and veg to Russia. Syria is not relevant to any of that
That’s just the first 25 minutes
Thanks for writing all this out, Pete.
I find it fascinating. Imagine others will as well. And all expressed in a dead pan, matter of fact manner, which is humorous in itself! Thanks again!!
Yes danceaway, deadpan and matter of fact, with intentional irony too
The second half is just as interesting as the first that I summarised