SITREP 9/2/24: Zermak on Escalation Begging Tour as Pokrovsk Clock Unwinds – Simplicius
Tue 11:06 am +00:00, 3 Sep 2024
Ukrainian Defense Minister Umerov and Head of the Presidential Office Andriy Yermak—or Zermak, as the two-headed monster of him and Zelensky is jointly called—just came off their Washington begging tour, where they were tasked with selling the escalation war against Russia in order to save Ukraine: The slovenly duo were seen hobnobbing around town. Now that events have been clarified, Zelensky’s final overriding game plan is now more obvious than ever. He intends to raise the stakes and costs for everyone involved by bombing targets deep within Russia in order to bring NATO and Russia to the brink of confrontation in the hopes that, through this trial by fire, NATO will somehow find the temerity within itself to get more directly involved in the war so that Zelensky’s dying regime can be saved. Washington has utilized a slew of dodges and evasions to keep Ukraine from pulling it deeper into the conflict. From the excuse that Russia has already moved all their planes out of ATACMS range, to the new one that ATACMS missiles are running out. In fact, the latest is most dastardly of all, given that there appears to be hint of a threat that should Ukraine continue down this path, the US will stop supplying ATACMS altogether under the guise of their having run out:
The above CNN article reads: And why could that be? Could it be Biden isn’t as stupid as he looks? I continue to remind people of the false equivalency fed to us: Ukraine sells it as a big ‘disadvantage’ that it is not allowed to strike Russia’s rear operational-strategic depth, yet recall that Ukraine’s own rear depth lies in NATO territory, in Poland, Germany, Romania, etc. Russia does not strike those either, so it really is a fair game not a disadvantage. If Ukraine wants to strike Russia’s rear logistics, then so should Russia be able to strike Reszow base where Ukraine stages its own supplies—to keep things fair and honest. Now—lo and behold—not surprisingly Russia has again confirmed that it is working on modifying its nuclear doctrine. This time it was Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov:
It’s uncertain what to make of it quite yet, but in accordance with developments it was noted by some observers—without verification on my part—that a mysterious Russian radio station UVB-76 has ‘awakened’ for the first time in years:
No one knows what its true purpose is but the Wiki article on the station posits that it could be part of the infamous Russian Dead Hand nuclear alert system:
It’s easy to go overboard in speculation and fearmongering, but at the same time, it’s nto exactly illogical that Russia would begin activating some legacy Soviet nuclear systems as precaution, given the recent developments. Adjacent to this, it was reported that a top secret direct communications line between Kiev and Moscow, which has operated since 1998, has finally been severed by Ukraine:
There’s also this report, but it is entirely uncorroborated and unsourced, so I’m only sharing it given the preponderance of other related developments:
This is joined by Western reports, like the following from Reuters, that Russia is deploying its latest Burevestnik—dubbed Skyfall by NATO—nuclear-powered missile north of Moscow:
![]() The Reuters article dismisses the missile, ironically, for the reason that it is redundant to what other Russian ICBMs like the Sarmat can already do. But they only show their own ignorance as the missile is a true game changer, given that it’s a cruise missile, not an intercontinental rocket. The Burevestnik flies very low and has “unlimited” range due to its nuclear power plant. Most people don’t understand the type of threat this poses. Let’s say the US and Russia got into a confrontation, if Russia launched any kind of intercontinental missile, even if it was not a nuclear one, it would be detected from special space satellites and the US could be obliged to initiate a nuclear exchange because it would be assumed the ballistic missile is nuclear-armed. However, the Burevestnik allows Russia to launch a cruise missile that can fly at very low altitude around the entire planet at extremely uncommon penetration angles where the US is not defended at all—for instance, from the south Pacific, given that the US anti-ballistic missile shield is mostly in the north in expectation of missiles that come over the arctic. This would allow Russia to hit sensitive US factories that could instantly wipe out or stall US’ entire weapons production. Given that US has only one main factory for most of its key weapon systems, disabling them could be an instantly crushing blow to US military projection. The Reuters article claims the missile does not have “unlimited” range but estimates perhaps 15,000 miles. This could be accurate given my own calculations: previous nuclear-powered aircraft propulsion tests that I’ve seen have shown 70-200 hours of flight time, though it’s possible to achieve more with modern tech, given that those tests were from the Cold War. A subsonic missile traveling at, let’s say, 400mph for 70 hours would give you 400 x 70 = 28,000 miles. Even the 15k miles Reuters claims is enough for the missile to loop all the way down from Russia into the south Pacific to avoid radar nets, then back up to hit US’ most sensitive weapons manufacturing sites in the southern US. I.e. this route is almost exactly 15,000 miles: But there are a variety of ‘interesting’ routes it can take. It’s just sour grapes that the US has nothing, and isn’t capable of making anything, like it. Let’s move on to battlefield updates. A few animated maps of Russia’s progress in the Pokrovsk direction: As can be seen, the advances in that direction continue. The more interesting updates are the breakouts in other directions. Ugledar specifically is seeing a new pincer forming, and its days as a major Ukrainian stronghold appear to be numbered. One of the reasons, apparently, was disclosed by infamous rogue Rada MP Mariana Bezuglaya when she accused Syrsky of divesting Ugledar of its main defending brigade to send it elsewhere: Russian troops were seen capturing the area just northeast of Ugledar while under major attack:
Geolocation: Bild’s Julian Ropcke was again sent into convulsions: “The Ukrainian soldiers I speak to can hardly explain the catastrophe. Some areas are falling so quickly that they suspect an order to retreat.” He goes on to say that Ukrainians will not give up but—they are already preparing “for the defense of Dnipro”. As can be seen, the situation is being viewed as catastrophic at this point. A well known Ukrainian military channel also showed panic:
The Telegraph’s latest article likewise spoke to an AFU commander who said: “I’ve never seen such speed of Russian advances…we don’t have troops, they outnumber us five to one….the Russians will be in Pokrovsk by mid-September.” If that wasn’t bad enough, the latest UK Times article agrees that Russia will “launch an offensive on the Dnipropetrovsk region in 2025”: Firstly, British “military expert” Michael Clarke says the quiet part aloud in the article:
He plainly admits that Ukrainian forces are using artillery attacks on the Kursk and Belgorod regions’ civilians simply to “frighten [them] into panic measures.” It only confirms things we already know, that, having failed in defeating the Russian Army, the AFU now instead attempts to “defeat” Russian civilians by terrorizing them to chip away at Putin’s consensus. The article is actually egregious in its shameful attempt at downplaying Ukraine’s losses. It describes advancing Russian forces as being “easy” to take out in “large swathes” by the AFU, characterizing the Pokrovsk fight as a breeze. Then it absurdly goes on to call the forthcoming capture of the city as a “minor” victory, despite admitting it positions Russia to attack Dnipro region in spring of next year: Zelensky likewise downplayed events, claiming Kursk is a great success and that Russia is transferring huge amounts of troops from Donbass to there, which is a bald-faced lie: More:
The above mentions control of gas, on that note, it was just revealed today that Russia has again supplanted the US to become Europe’s second largest gas supplier. In the below, Russian LNG, Yamal, Ukraine Gas-Transit, and Turk Stream are all sourced from Russia: By the way, as the AFU retreats from Pokrovsk region, they are reportedly flooding mines to ruin them for Russian control: This segues us into the next geopolitical segment. Germany continues to deindustrialize, not to mention experience not only political upheaval but strange incidents of seeming sabotage. For a long time now there were complaints by German staff that strange unidentified UAVs were hovering over their training grounds, watching their military. Now those reports have returned, except this time they’re even sighted over German industrial sites:
Read the last sentence above. Now, there have been new explosions at a German Diehl plant which is said to produce weapons for Ukraine:
There was a previous explosion at Diehl just a couple months ago, if you’ll recall. Germany is not looking good these days, as historic events become commonplace: Now all sorts of shenanigans went down after the feared AfD party wonthe state election in Thuringia, and came in second in Saxony:
What transpired next was shocking. The election results were deemed “incorrect” by some kind of “software error” and AfD’s victory was rolled back: ![]() How convenient:
Listen to how German regime media describes AfD:
It was even explained that Germany’s CDU had the more “democratic” votes despite losing, so a government should be formed with a CDU candidate over that of the AfD:
Amazing how democracy works in Europe. Those who have been following the Macron fiasco in France will note that Europe is descending into utter totalitarianism. It is unreal what has happened to Europe—it is virtually on the brink, and there is no more freedom there. Meanwhile, here’s the statement from the AfD’s co-chairman:
— Not to feel left out, the UK has also demonstrated its rapid decline as the Royal Navy’s Vanguard Class submarine came home from a long deployment looking like absolute hell: Some tried to defend it by saying this is normal amounts of algae build up after a long deployment—but that’s the whole point, the Royal Navy is in such bad shape its few functioning subs are forced to go on excessively long deployments to cover for the decay. — Meanwhile, another source has confirmed that Putin’s approval has dipped in Russia following events in Kursk:
And here is the latest survey regarding the SMO—click on each graph to increase its size: ![]()
In short, while those supporting peace still slightly outnumber the ones supporting continuation of the war, the number for those supporting negotiations is dropping and is therefore trending to become the minority in the near future. The ones supporting negotiations had peaked around February to May of this year, and are now on the way down, likely helped along by the Kursk situation which has aroused anger and vengefulness in Russia. — In related news, Turkey, Algeria, and Palestine have all officially applied to join BRICS: Meanwhile, members of a nationalist Turkish youth movement took two American sailors hostage and put bags over their heads as they screamed for help in the middle of Izmir: This was followed by protests shouting “Yankee, go home!”
Things seem to be going well for the Empire. — Couple last items: American TOW ATGMs massively failed in Taiwan tests, with reportedly 60% hitting their targets and claims that Taiwan now wants to dump the weapons systems: Well, I had already long reported from the US Army’s own internal documents that both their TOW and Javelin in fact achieved less than 19% effectiveness by their own figures: — New types of anti-drone systems are being developed which could in the future make FPVs obsolete:
— Meanwhile a strange new napalm-spewing drone was scene on the front, with both the Russian side (via Rybar) and AFU claiming it as their own. It appears designed to set hedgerows, trench positions, and equipment stored thereof on fire, and looks quite menacing from afar: Your support is invaluable. If you enjoyed the read, I would greatly appreciate if you subscribed to a monthly/yearly pledge to support my work, so that I may continue providing you with detailed, incisive reports like this one. Alternatively, you can tip here: buymeacoffee.com/Simplicius |






































































