The US is planning to continue to escalate

The West and Israel want to have the last word.  The Zionist colony couldn’t exist without direct support from the West.  They will have to pay for all the crimes they have committed.  Even if Iran and the US manage to negotiate a truce, Hezbollah and others will bring the Zionist colony to an end.

Israel wants to assert its military power over West Asia, and the Horn of Africa.  The US wants to control the world, not negotiate with the world, to boss the world.  That’s the American way – demands not negotiations.

If the big players would directly take on the US and Israel, and work as a group, they would come down as there is so much bluff in the US/Israeli approach.  If the big people would stand up, the US could be toppled.  This is the second most dangerous moment since WW2 – with a collapse in world energy maybe weeks away.

The US uses money to hold Turkey and Pakistan and others down.  Very real control.  If the BRICS would stand up to Trump and Netanyahu holding the world hostage, they coudn’t do it.

Is the realisation growing that Iran has created a great opportunity for the world?

NEXT  Professor Robert Pape of Chicago University

The next video shows how in eighteen days Iran has taken control of The Straits Of Hormuz, and now has control of 20% of the world’s energy supply.  US missiles have been 100% successful in assassinating Iran’s leadership, but air power alone has never achieved regime change in 100 years.  Iran’s drones are precision guided and have hit back very effectively.

The Iranian regime is stronger than it was at the start of the war.

US has now to look at a ground operation to achieve a victory.  This is the pivotal phase.  It would be a very long war, and Vietnam-like in style.  Deeper and deeper.  Harder and harder.  Iran is not going to hand back the Straits.  If Trump accepts that loss, and negotiates he might survive politically.  If he carries on, he will be in Lyndon Johnson territory, escalating until it is obvious the war is a total failure, as in Vietnam.

QUESTION – Iran’s launchers have been knocked out?  ANSWER – The numbers are not the point.  It’s the willingness to carry on and fulfil a military strategy, a long war, a game of imposing costs on the United States, with tiny numbers of attacks.  Tiny numbers of attacks have enormous effects on the situation.

QUESTION – If the US gets the numbers available to attack down to zero, then the strategy fails.

ANSWER – Only a handful of mines and drones suffice.  They can produce 20 drones a week, and a few mines.  This is back to the Vietnam war.

QUESTION – The Straits of Hormuz is also vital for Iran. Is Iran defeating themselves by closing the Straits.

ANSWER – If the price of oil rises, $6/7/8 a gallon say, or at least up more,   Take Iraq losing 90% of its oil exports.  It made Saddam more powerful, a bigger fish in a smaller pond, not weaker.  Small numbers of attacks from Iran will have a huge economic effect and a huge political effect.

QUESTION – Oil will fall in price again?

ANSWER –  $120/130 a  barrel is predicted.  This will make offshore drilling profitable but it needs two years to bring online.  It needs to be $120/130 for two years at least, for oil companies to want to go offshore.  Replacing 20% of the world’s oil supply will take time.  This gives Iran power.  They control 20% of the world’s oil.  Iran becomes the oil hegemon, and can use this power to strengthen militarily and politically.  If the US goes in militarily to get back control, that will totally block the exports from the Gulf.  And the ground war will not suit the US and Israel which prefers to use air power than lose thousands of troops.

QUESTION – The US holds the cards?

ANSWER – We are finding out that Trump has lost control.  Lyndon Johnson territory.  As the world figures out Trump has lost control, the trap will grow.  Iran has precision drones.  Iran has nuclear material.  Iran could engage in terrorism.  Trump could and should cut a deal, cut his losses, or wait three or four months and lose the Presidency and the world economy.

NEXT – JEFFREY SACHS INTERVIEWED

Trump psychopathic and delusional.  The energy crisis is worsening.  Israel’s and US brutality attacking civilians in Iran.

Trump a narcissistic megalomaniac.  He thinks he runs the world.  He can murder anybody and run anywhere he wants.  Talking of invading Cuba this week.  Trump and Netanyahu want to escalate rather than lose.  Ground invasion.  More destruction.  No clear endgame.  Anything can happen.

War very unpopular.  Trump’s support collapsing.  No political gain here other than to save himself which he does by lying every second.  The war is driven by megalomania, Trump and Netanyahu in partnership, rogue governments.

 

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