SITREP 6/29/24: Biden’s Unraveling Sets New Course for Ukraine – Simplicius
Sun 10:04 am +00:00, 30 Jun 2024 Let’s start off with the debate which indirectly segues us into Ukrainian war developments. First off, we all know the debate is inconsequential and nothing more than a charade. That being said, it’s obvious a large psyop was pulled off given the fact that Biden was in no way any worse in the debate than he has been in any of his recent interviews or speeches. In fact, if you really had to objectively score it, it’s arguable he won the debate against Trump, given that despite his obvious mental decline, he at least was able to recite the memorized facts given him after CNN undoubtedly leaked all the questions to his camp. But even despite those advantages, Trump rarely cited any facts or semblance of a plan, and merely squandered his time defensively backbiting, repeating the same three talking points or tediously boasting how everything associated with his administration was ‘the greatest ever’ and anything of his opponent’s is ‘the worst ever’. So what I mean to say by that is: the sudden, totally coordinated “outrage” and faux-shock from pro-regime media pundits and MSM outlets is clearly orchestrated in order to merely use the debates as the springboard to let Biden off gracefully. They couldn’t do it before because it would have required them to admit Biden was mentally compromised at a time they were still hoping to hold out and prop up the desiccated corpse. But the concerted nature of the now contrived apoplexy allows them to use the debate as a smokescreen to sort of collectivize their hypocrisy and previous covering for Biden by hiding each individual voice in the loud chatter of the wider corporate media cacophony—this way you can’t call out a particular one of them for being a hypocrite, but are rather forced to chalk it up to an organic process, which it clearly wasn’t. But to attuned observers, the fabricated nature of the outrage is clear to see because Biden is obviously no worse today than he was just a day ago, a week ago, or even months ago. The debate showed no sudden inexplicable “change”, apart from his slightly hoarse voice, claimed to be the result of a ‘cold’. As other commentators have noted, it’s obvious they moved the debate up to a much earlier date than normal (the first 2020 debate was nearly in October) in order to give the DNC time to dump Biden and find someone new. That much is indisputable and is only confirmed by the contrived “shock” by people who long knew—but purposely concealed and dismissed—Biden’s total mental incompetence. In essence, the conversation went like this: “Look, something’s gotta be done—we need to get rid of him. But for now let’s hold the line and continue pretending everything’s rosy. Once the debates go down, we’ll pretend he has suddenly suffered a catastrophic decline and we’ll declare him unfit in unison, in order to protect us individually from accusations of contradicting ourselves.” It was, nonetheless, amusing to see how quickly corporate media switched up on Biden, here suddenly characterizing his administration as ruled by the ‘oligarchy’: With that baseline covered, let’s move on to connected events. Something strange is brewing under the surface the last few days, which appears connected to Biden’s controlled demise. It began when Zelensky did a sudden about-face and began not only talking about peace, but even strangely admitted that Ukraine is suffering major casualties: All of the sudden, there’s not much time left, according to Zelensky, and he doesn’t want to have this war drag out for ‘years’ because there are many dead and wounded. He went on to develop this idea, claiming they are developing productive capacities just in case, but are now seeking to put together a peace proposal by the end of the year: This comes after MSM itself has again begun spotlighting Russia’s productive achievements in the military sphere: The new report grimly states:
It even gives an insightful breakdown of some of the key munitions expansions:
Of course, this earlier report citing hundreds of North Korean factories working ‘at full capacity’ may have something to do with the West’s sudden consternation: One supposes such manufacturing power makes the West’s eyes water and causes them to think twice about a war of attrition against the Russian-led bloc. This may have something to do with it as well: Remember when the narrative was that it was Russia totally reliant on Western-supplied parts in its weaponry? Here an American general literally admits the entire U.S. military structure would collapse in a day if China issued an embargo against them:
Remember when it was Russia using Western chips in all of its missiles?
How the tides turn. It seems the West is slowly coming to its awakening moment: it stands no chance in a long term conflict against the manufacturing powerhouse of the Russia-China-North Korea-Iran bloc. The establishment appears terrified that there’s a real chance the coming wave of patriotic political figures will can the entire deepstate project. Not did Trump just say that Russia, China, and North Korea are not true enemies of America, implying that under him they won’t be, but other populist figures are looking to curb or scuttle the neocons’ global plans:
This bodes very badly for Ukraine’s prospects. And establishment mouthpieces have already recently been crying alarm that without the U.S., NATO itself will collapse: Not to mention many other small cracks forming in the “unified front” meant to buttress the Ukrainian simulacrum: Another recent article after the failed Swiss peace summit stated:
The latest rumor from Legitmny channel states that Zelensky’s team is panicking over what Trump specifically will do upon taking office, and it does sound like a realistic set of possibilities:
— The other major worry that has now spooked the Western establishment is the reluctant realization that Russian elites have fallen into line, dashing countless propaganda soundbites about how Putin is due to be overthrown ‘any moment’ by his revolting “oligarchs”. The latest issue of CFR’s Foreign Affairs bites down on the bitter pill:
And why have these elites stopped worrying about the war? Foreign Affairs spells it out—they can now clearly see that Russia is winning: This quote epitomizes the slant of the article:
The article goes on to note that the only remaining question on the oligarch’s minds is what, precisely, would constitute a Russian victory; or, in other words, how far should Russia go? In discussing the takeover of Kharkov, they state promisingly:
They specify that Putin and Belousov both have a sort of religiose fondness for Kiev and its Orthodox Lavra monastery, a resting place for many venerated Russian saints.
They end on this ominous note:
And it is on that note that we move into the latest strange news. Belarus has done readiness checks and redeployed additional forces on its westernmost border owing to what they state is a Ukrainian troop build up in the Zhitomir region:
One Russian analyst’s take which I naturally agree with:
Another Belarusian army spokesman confirms this is an attempt by Ukraine-NATO to drag Belarus into the war: And a Russian expert discusses the developing situation on a Russian talkshow: — In general, it’s clear that a confluence of negative outcomes is starting to come together to paint a worst case scenario outlook for Ukraine’s prospects. When you take into account the likelihood that Trump will win, that Macron and other European bigs will lose power, with others like Farage and Le Pen ascendant, the rumors of North Korean involvement and Iranian treaties, the destruction of Ukraine’s electric grid and incoming catastrophic winter, the sudden uncharacteristic peace pleas from Zelensky and total failure of Ukraine to secure anything of consequence whatsoever at the assortment of pointless NATO and EU summits, it becomes evident that hope is quickly waning for Ukraine. Of course, some will claim that the rumors of secret negotiations between Russia and the West have to be taken into account. After all, wasn’t it Putin that extended the first major negotiations offer recently, just on the eve of the Swiss summit? Seymour Hersh followed up with his ‘secret sources’ that Putin and U.S. are carrying out backdoor peace talks. However, one thing I haven’t seen any other analyst cover is the fact that Russia officially denied any such peace talks are going on—I believe it was Lavrov or Peskov who stated it last week, directly responding to Hersh’s claims. — In the meantime, Russia continues to build up its military potential and asymmetrically respond to the West’s aggression. There are rumors that Russia has sent overtures toward arming the Houthis and potentially Hezbollah, to which Israel has shown great concern, with one Israeli official pleading that they must be very careful with angering Russia:
On top of that, Putin has now announced that Russia may resume manufacturing medium range ballistic missiles—precisely the kinds banned by the previous INF treaty: Russian analyst Older Eddy gives his take:
That’s not to mention that Russia has now stated the West is in danger of having its ties officially downgraded in their entirety by Russia: As many know, Russia moves very slowly—slow to saddle, fast to ride, as the trope goes—but when it does, it moves with heavy, enduring consequence. As I said, all the while, Russia is building up its resources and offensive potential. Unlike the West’s own dismal showing and inability to translate platitudes into action, Russia is sticking to its plans and promises: The latest above quotes ISW with the news that Russia has created a whole new combined arms army which is now deploying units to Ukraine:
And a new Ukrainian report claims that Russia is building up forces this time in the south, in preparation for a new southern offensive somewhere near Ugledar or the Zaporozhye region: Meanwhile, in NATO: — There continue to be breakthroughs on the front; in fact, today was so busy, with so many new advances all over the map, that I decided to not even bother covering them all until there’s a bit more decisive consolidation of captures. But the song isn’t over yet for Ukraine, in fact soon will be an upcoming big piece to discuss how Ukraine could still potentially pull off a ‘win’ of sorts. — We’ll end with some sundry items of interest: Here Arestovich describes how 6 separate battalions on the Toretsk front all mutinied and fled, which has allowed some of the Russian breakthroughs noted above: Meanwhile, Aidar big Ihor Mosiychuk just two days ago described how Russian missiles wiped out another officer’s billet in Kharkov, killing at least 15 AFU and wounding dozens more. The Russian rear strikes are doing massive damage—here’s another from today which blew away an entire Ukrainian train said to be full of armaments and Western gear: — By far the most ‘presidential’ moment of the debates, really symbolic of what America has become: — Lastly, I’ll leave you with this new apropos Russian ad: Your support is invaluable. If you enjoyed the read, I would greatly appreciate if you subscribed to a monthly/yearly pledge to support my work, so that I may continue providing you with detailed, incisive reports like this one. Alternatively, you can tip here: buymeacoffee.com/Simplicius |