Contrary to what I wrote, Russia did not fully evacuate all potential Kherson flood victims in advance; evidently it underestimated the scope of what everyone figured may be coming. In the town of Alyoshki alone, about 5000 citizens had to be evacuated in a hurry. In other news, I have three different videos of land mines being washed out and blowing up in the river or along the new shoreline.
This is a catastrophe; there are now unknown square kilometers of minefields that have been washed out, this stuff could be ANYWHERE, to include, in flooded communities, “waiting” for the residents to return. All the way south to the sea, no one will be able to go fishing or walk along most of the riverbank for YEARS. As to “who did it”, the answer is simple. Both sides were monitoring the dam continuously, yet neither is releasing video of the moment that it broke. Why?
Obviously, because they both know there was no explosion.
As strange as the “timing” may be, the dam simply failed, due to a combination of many tens of HIMARS strikes (from last year) and a high water level (this year.)
Jacob Dreizin Report
(There will be NO ADMISSION of any “Big Counteroffensive” from these bull-shytters UNTIL/UNLESS they have some RESULTS. Until then, following their lead, no one in our MSM will “call it”. However, FWIW, CNN’s website had some inkling on Wednesday, which gave us a taste of the new “party line.” They’re saying it’s preparation and preparation and maybe looking like the early stages, blah blah. LOL.)
After the “relative” calm of Tuesday, on Wednesday the Ukraine resumed its broad offensive.
On Wednesday morning/daytime, across the south, Ukrainian forces reportedly equivalent to around three brigades attempted to advance, with inadequate artillery preparation and an apparent absence of major attack drone activity (no surprise if you’ve been reading Dreizin), at many points along a roughly 130km front, from Vremievka in the east, to almost the Kakhovskoe reservoir in the west, having largely no success.
Substantial assaults also took place on Wednesday against Klesh’eevka, southwest of Bock-moot, where one key Russian position was taken, as well as in the Avdeevka salient, with no success, and smaller attempted advances near Svatovo and Kremmenaia as well as Masiutovka in the north, all with no success.
Overnight Wednesday-Thursday and into the morning, a near-BRIGADE-sized, multi-wave assault, involving over 100 armored vehicles, preceded by substantial HIMARS launches against Russian trenches…..
…..(THE FIRST LARGE-SCALE USE OF HIMARS AGAINST FRONTLINE POSITIONS ***IN OVER SEVEN MONTHS***—HIMARS MISSILES ARE A ***SHORTAGE ITEM***—THIS IS IT, FOLKS—DON’T READ THEIR LIPS, WATCH WHAT THEY ***DO***—IF THEY SUCCEED HERE, AT LEAST FOUR BRIGADES WILL FOLLOW INTO THE BREACH)…..
…..was undertaken against the Russian line southeast of Orekhov, as per the Ukrainian battle plan which I published on May 8th.
It appears that Russian casualties are ALMOST ALL from the HIMARS, not so much from action involving Ukrainian fighting vehicles or infantry.
The situation is chaotic, with large numbers of confused or retreating Ukrainians from the night assault, meeting new Ukrainian forces being brought up in the morning. Ukrainian units have taken a few observation posts / high points within the general vicinity of the Russian first line, but overall the line is holding.
By the sound of it, an unusually large number of Ukrainian souls have flown away to Bandera, Melnyk, and Shukhevych.
Russian morale, preparation, and effectiveness appear to be VERY high. In fact, there is a sense of ELATION among those Telegram channel admins who are affiliated with some or other Russian unit or command, getting their news directly from officer friends at or near the front.
The latest credible word is that, as of Thursday morning, a large reserve of fixed-wing combat aircraft has been activated to pound, across the entire southern front, Ukrainian forces that are stuck more-or-less out in the open, i.e. having sallied forth but not succeeded in seizing and taking adequate cover in Russian entrenchments or Russian-held towns/villages (a potential repeat of the Kherson bloodbath of August 31st to early September 2022.)