It’s too close to call


Remember, you don’t need your polling card to vote.

It’s “too close to call”

Many of the papers say, rightly, that the referendum result is “too close to call”.  The Indyheadlines “24 hours to go and it’s too close to call”. The Metro. Certainly the polls are well within the margin of error, and there’s all to play for.

Latest YouGov poll shows 51/49 for Leave

Good news that the latest poll shows Leave ahead – but the margin is so small that it’s a statistical dead heat.  I still believe that a dead heat in the opinion polling will translate into a Leave victory tomorrow, based on differential turnout.  In trend terms this seems to represent a swing back to Leave from the last YouGov poll.  Perhaps the initial shock of the Jo Cox tragedy is being seen in more perspective.

BBC’s Great Debate

Last night Boris Johnson, Gisela Stuart and Andrea Leadsom lined up against Scottish Tory Leader Ruth Davidson, London Mayor Sadiq Khan and the TUC’s Frances O’Grady.   There was an especial piquancy in pitting the former and the current London Mayors against each other.  All the panellists gave a good account of themselves.  Khan was articulate, but seemed to rely too heavily on massively pre-scripted and repetitive statements (“You can’t take control of A, and B,and C etc, over and over again ad nauseam).  Ruth Davidson was unduly rude and aggressive.

Leave repeated their “Take Control” mantra almost too often, until it elicited groans from the Remain half of the audience.  But Boris’s closing statement was a cracker.

Two of the Remain side were from Scotland and Ireland.  Two of the Leave side claimed immigrant lineage (Boris & Gisela).  So who won? The Indy calls it for Remain.  I thought Leave had it – but perhaps I’m biased.  The Telegraph’s poll showed a strong rating for all the Leave side, and especially Boris, with negative ratings for Khan and O’Grady, about evens for Richardson.  But I guess that reflects their readership.

Roger Helmer MEP


One Response to “It’s too close to call”

  1. Aldous says:

    “Perhaps the initial shock of the Jo Cox tragedy(sic*) is being seen in more perspective.”
    * The jury’s out on whether or not this ‘event’ was ZOG staged and is a hoax/false flag.

    Perhaps some perspective should be that as long as the UK remains in the EUSSR, killers from babes-in-arms/children to OAP’s/politicians (I put politicians last because they are the least loss to any society and easily replaced) will literally get away with murder because the Death Penalty is only reserved for Patriots who rock the EUSSR boat and gravy train.

    Lisbon Treaty allows for Death Penalty across EU

    On 20th Feb 2008 a caucus meeting was held at the German Parliament in Munich to discuss the Lisbon Treaty.

    At this meeting a previously unmentioned paragraph was bought to light by Professor Schachtschneider, Humanities Faculty -University of Nuremberg.

    Professor Schachtschneider, explained that the undisclosed paragraph means on ratification of the Lisbon Treaty the DEATH PENALTY will be reintroduced to Europe. The Death Penalty will be applicable for the crimes of RIOTING, CIVIL UPHEAVAL and DURING WAR. (When are we not at war and who will define riot and upheaval?)

    Professor Schachtschneider made the point that this clause is particularly outrageous as it had been cleverly hidden in a footnote of a footnote and would not have been detected by anyone other than an exceptional expert

    The EU not-a-Constitution reintroduces the death penalty and not only in times of war, but for riots or upheaval. That gives governments a pretty free hand to use the death penalty – strikes, protests, vote of no confidence in the ruling party.

    Death Penalty in Europe: Only for Enemies of the State

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