Remember, you don’t need your polling card to vote.
It’s “too close to call”
Many of the papers say, rightly, that the referendum result is “too close to call”. The Indyheadlines “24 hours to go and it’s too close to call”. The Metro. Certainly the polls are well within the margin of error, and there’s all to play for.
Latest YouGov poll shows 51/49 for Leave
Good news that the latest poll shows Leave ahead – but the margin is so small that it’s a statistical dead heat. I still believe that a dead heat in the opinion polling will translate into a Leave victory tomorrow, based on differential turnout. In trend terms this seems to represent a swing back to Leave from the last YouGov poll. Perhaps the initial shock of the Jo Cox tragedy is being seen in more perspective.
BBC’s Great Debate
Last night Boris Johnson, Gisela Stuart and Andrea Leadsom lined up against Scottish Tory Leader Ruth Davidson, London Mayor Sadiq Khan and the TUC’s Frances O’Grady. There was an especial piquancy in pitting the former and the current London Mayors against each other. All the panellists gave a good account of themselves. Khan was articulate, but seemed to rely too heavily on massively pre-scripted and repetitive statements (“You can’t take control of A, and B,and C etc, over and over again ad nauseam). Ruth Davidson was unduly rude and aggressive.
Leave repeated their “Take Control” mantra almost too often, until it elicited groans from the Remain half of the audience. But Boris’s closing statement was a cracker.
Two of the Remain side were from Scotland and Ireland. Two of the Leave side claimed immigrant lineage (Boris & Gisela). So who won? The Indy calls it for Remain. I thought Leave had it – but perhaps I’m biased. The Telegraph’s poll showed a strong rating for all the Leave side, and especially Boris, with negative ratings for Khan and O’Grady, about evens for Richardson. But I guess that reflects their readership.
Roger Helmer MEP