UK elections. Another hung Parliament looks inevitable

h1Unless something happens in the next six months to dramatically change the situation, the election is looking very unlikely to produce a majority for any one party.

What might happen?  Could the UKIP surge go ahead even faster?  The problem is that there are two parties surging from nowhere, UKIP being one and the second being the Greens.  If UKIP had adopted Green policies, such as banning fracking in Britain, and a ban on GMOs, their surge might have been enough to win  a series bag of seats.  But failing that, the surge from UKIP isn’t strong enough to overturn and replace the old two party system, only to cripple it.  Could UKIP go green?  If they did, they could yet turn the situation around and turn into a massive seat winner.  There is not a hint of it happening, with Roger Helmer, UKIP’s Energy spokesman issuing statements of pure nonsense about the safety of fracking.  Politics in Britain will be crippled.  The power cabal will toy with us as they wish.

Extraordinarily both CON and LAB fall to new lows on the Betfair GE2015 market AT THE SAME TIME


The two surging parties UKIP and Green are miles apart.  Yet there is nothing stopping UKIP from going Green at this late stage, apart from the folly of the UKIP Energy Spokesman, Roger Helmer.

November 11th, 2014

Another hung parliament is looking even more likely

The two charts above (click link) represent betting developments that have never happened before. Both the chances of a CON and a LAB majority at GE15 on the betting exchange have moved to new lows together.

This is a odd phenomenon. Normally if the blues collapse then the reds soar and vice versa. Now, with less than six months to go, both appear to have deep problems which will make it harder to put up convincing cases to the electorate next May.

With LAB it’s the continued angst about the leadership while amongst the Tories it is the opening up yet again of the European fault line that has been so corrosive for nearly a quarter of a century.

All of this coupled with the rise of UKIP and the Greens make the general election even harder to predict. The public don’t like split parties or apparent weak leadership and we are in a remarkable state of flux.The opportunity is surely there for UKIP or the Greens but neither have leaders capable of resonating amongst voters groups outside their own bases.

Add onto all of this we have the challenges created by the first past the post voting system in each of the 650 constituencies. We could see many MPs being returned with fewer than 30% of the votes in their own seats.

Mike Smithson


5 Responses to “UK elections. Another hung Parliament looks inevitable”

  1. Chris says:

    The only hung parliament I’d like to see at present is one involving ropes and lampposts; useless, self-serving, cowardly, traitorous, lying scum the lot of them.

  2. lindie says:

    “According to these latest documents, there are paid government agent/contractor persons on social media posing as someone they are not, whilst on the payroll of the government. Their job is to befriend members of the alternative media, embed themselves in the ebb and flow of day-to-day communications, and then to engage in elaborate subterfuge – by any means necessary. The training exercise below uses terms like “befriend”, “infiltrate”, “mask/mimic”, “ruse”, “set-up”, “disrupt”, “create cognitive stress”, “use deception”, “ruin business relationships”, and “post negative information on appropriate forums” – all of which is not only illegal and morally bankrupt, but also runs completely contrary to the very fundamental ‘values’ and indeed founding principles, of a modern free democratic society or constitutional republic.”…/snowden-training-guide-for-gc…/
    My sister knew a guy called Ellis Taylor who admitted he had been an informer and troll to people who whistleblow on the internet
    he borrowed money from her and never paid it back

  3. sovereigntea says:

    If UKIP fail on GMO’s fracking and foster seditious relationship with israel then they too are unworthy of my vote.

  4. paul maleski says:

    Any UK Prime Minister who takes us out of the European Union will not live very long. David Cameron is well aware of this fact: murder victims—John Smith, Robin Cook and David Kelly are not here to testify!

  5. Ian R Thorpe says:

    The issue I’d like to see brought up is TTIP. It will take a brave party leader to do it as so little is known by the general public about this anything-but-free trade treaty that will effectively hand control of our consumer protection, fair trade and labour relations laws to global corporations that there might initially be few votes in it.
    Once people get a handle on the extent of the betrayal our leaders want to inflict on the british people however, I think it will cost all major parties a considerable slice of their vote.

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.