On September 17th 2008, Ipsos Mori produced a poll giving the Conservatives a 28% lead.
See it here. a majority of 336 was being talked of.
Today’s pre-election polls are giving around 20% less than that at 8%.
Is this credible?
My guess is that by the date of the election the polls will be giving the result neck and neck. That at least, is the forecast of Labour ‘s election planners made before Christmas. And their predictions seem to have an uncanny knack of proving accurate.
April 13th – just as predicted, Populus gives a 3% lead here. Who will be the first pollster to give a 0% just before polling day?
Foul play alert for the 2010 election. No party can go from a 28% lead to zero in 18 months. It’s a sure sign that election rigging is about to take place.