Had a chat today with my longest pal. We did our PhDs together in the 80s. I had a career in biomedical R&D, latterly founding a U.K. biotech. My friend has a largely academic career & is now a professor of immunology at a minor U.K. Uni. Credentials aside. He’s been speaking…
…with a friend who’s something in PHE, involved in modelling the tail end of the pandemic. PHE guy tells my pal that “the pandemic is over & Govt knows this”. But he’s having running arguments with Neil Ferguson, who takes a different view. PHE guy says “no one had any…”
…confidence in Ferguson’s model & thinks he’s completely wrong on everything. He also disclosed that the false positive rate of the PCR test is “a lot higher than we (the public) think, and this has implications”. PHE guy is part of the team which advises HMG, who is worried..
There is a comment here how they had backed this pandemic. The epidemiologists, big pharma, public health etc had been banking on a pandemic and they backed this one early on thinking it would be the one! But it isn’t and they are now trying to make it the one!
Continuing to use in surveillance a PCR test with a higher false positive rate than the prevalence of the virus is guaranteed to create a local ‘spike’ in cases upon demand. Notice they never tell you the # of tests per day anymore? I think it’s 130,000/d & someone’s coining it.
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