A few seats have declared with UKIP showing big reductions, and Greens also to a lesser extent. Lib Dems are also seeing a reduction in their vote.
The total fall in the share of these three parties of about 16% or thereabouts is so far after seven seats going 9% to Labour and 7% to Conservative. As this is tactical voting, the effects could be very unequal, and the trend in results could go either way. Big turnout this election.
The only Conservative HELD seat that’s declared so far, could be the joker in the pack. Up north in the Labour HELD seats the tactical vote has supported Conservative more than Labour, though not exclusively.
In the only Conservative HELD yet to report, however, the UKIP tactical vote went heavily in favour of Labour, cutting the Conservative majority by 3000 votes. If that’s a trend, the Conservatives might yet be in trouble. The Theresa May electoral plan was that UKIP voters would save her bacon because of her ‘hard’ BREXIT stance. If that doesn;t work as at Swindon North, she’ll be struggling. Putney declares at 1 am (15 mins), and that will give another indication. TWo other Conservative HELD seats show 4/5% swing to Labour. The show is hotting up!
|PARTY||VOTES||%||NET PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN SEATS+/- %|
|Justin Tomlinson||Votes29,431||header_vote_share53.6||Net percentage change in seats+3.3|
|Mark Dempsey||Votes21,096||header_vote_share38.4||Net percentage change in seats+10.6|
|Liz Webster||Votes1,962||header_vote_share3.6||Net percentage change in seats+0.3|
|Steve Halden||Votes1,564||header_vote_share2.8||Net percentage change in seats-12.5|
|Andy Bentley||Votes858||header_vote_share1.6||Net percentage change in seats-1.7|
|Change compared with 2015|