If UK does vote for Brexit, how long will it take to actually leave the EU?

13 Jun, 2016

© Jon Nazca

© Jon Nazca / Reuters
European Council President Donald Tusk warns it could take Britain up to seven years to negotiate its way out of the EU in the event of a Brexit. If the UK does vote to leave, how long will it actually take?

Divorces are messy, prolonged affairs, and if Brexit occurs it will be no exception.

Surprisingly for such a major issue facing the UK, there is no agreement as to how long it would actually take Britain to leave the bloc.

While some say two-years, others predict negotiations could last more than 10 years. RT looks at the varying predictions over how long a Brexit will take.

Two years

Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty says that a member state seeking to leave the EU has two-years to complete negotiations on how it will withdraw and what it’s relationship with the bloc will be like post-Brexit.

In theory, Britain could leave the EU even earlier. That’s if negotiations are wrapped up before the two-year time limit.

An extension on the two-year limit can only be granted with the unanimous backing of all EU member states.

Seven years

EC President Donald Tusk warned it could take up to seven years for Britain to leave the EU in the event of a Brexit.

Speaking to the German daily newspaper Bild, Tusk said the UK’s relations with the EU would be in limbo during this period.

Although contractual ties could be dissolved in two years, Tusk said that getting every country to approve the agreement could take much longer.

Every single one of the 27 member states as well as the European parliament would have to approve the overall result. That would take at least five years, and I’m afraid, without any guarantee of success.

Every family knows: Divorce is traumatic for all,” he added.

Ten years

World Trade Organization (WTO) Director General Roberto Azevêdo predicts it could take the UK decades to leave the bloc successfully.

Because no country has ever left the EU before, negotiations could drag on for more than 10 years.

The UK would also have to negotiate its place in the WTO, because its current membership status is based on it being in the EU.

He predicts that trade will continue during this period of negotiations, but “on worse terms.”

It could take quite some time before the UK got back to a similar position that it has today in terms of its trading relationships with other countries. Time will tell where all of this leads,” he told an audience at the World Trade Symposium in London.

Source: https://www.rt.com/uk/346505-brexit-how-long-leave/

 

Related:

The day in Brexit: Anti-EU feeling spreading across Europe, study finds

8 Jun, 2016

© Sakis Mitrolidis

© Sakis Mitrolidis / AFP
Brexit fever is spreading fast across Europe with anti-EU sentiment among some populations surpassing even Britain, a new survey has found. RT takes a look at Brexit mania and the latest in the upcoming referendum.

A Pew Research Center opinion poll of over 10,000 people across Europe found that a growing number of citizens are turning their backs on Brussels.

Support for the bloc is at its lowest in Greece – a country brutalized by years of austerity policies harshly imposed by Brussels. Just 27 percent of Greeks surveyed have a favourable opinion of the EU.

Although one of the founding members of the club, French people are now desperate to leave. Just 38 percent support the bloc. By contrast, UK support stands at 44 percent.

The British are not the only ones with doubts about the European Union,” concluded Bruce Stokes, chief author of the Washington-based Pew Research Center report published on Tuesday.

Welsh on the fence, Scots afraid to jump

Polling data from YouGov indicates voters in Wales are split down the middle over whether to remain or leave the European Union.

According to a survey conducted last week, Welsh voters are divided 41 percent for Brexit and 41 percent against.

A TNS poll published on Wednesday indicates 51 percent of Scots will vote to remain in the EU on June 23.

Contrary to the mutterings of the Scottish National Party (SNP), most Scots do not support pursuing an independent Scotland in the event of a Brexit. Some 38 percent polled by TNS said they backed independence from Westminster, while 48 percent are pro-UK.

Voter registration deadline extended

Emergency legislation in Parliament extended the voter registration deadline for participation in the EU referendum to 23:59 BST on June 9.

The urgent legislation was tabled after Whitehall’s voter registration website crashed under the weight of user traffic on Tuesday night, two hours short of the original cut-off point.

Leave campaign chief executive Matthew Elliot accused the government of “trying to register as many likely Remain votes as possible.”

Don’t let the government skew the result of the referendum – make sure you and your friends are all registered today,” he said.

Farage in racism spat with Archbishop

Prominent Leave campaigner and UKIP leader Nigel Farage has been bogged down in a quarrel with the UK’s most senior cleric, the Archbishop of Canterbury.

The Most Rev Justin Welby accused Farage of giving “legitimisation to racism” for political gain on Tuesday, after the UKIP leader warned women are at risk of sexual assault by migrants if Brits stay in the EU.

Farage shot back on Wednesday, accusing the Archbishop of turning a “blind eye” to recent events in Cologne, in which a group of migrant men allegedly sexually assaulted German women during New Year’s festivities.

However Farage’s outburst prompted a similarly harsh attack from fellow Brexiteer Conservative minister Andrea Leadsom, who described his comments as “outright blatant scaremongering.

Source: https://www.rt.com/uk/345891-brexit-europe-polls-farage/?utm_source=SpotIM&utm_medium=Recommendations&spot_im_comment_id=sp_6phY2k0C_345891_c_C6ZsRG

 

Gordon says:

In all, I’ve asked about forty people here in the Scottish Borders what way they are voting in the coming referendum. All, with the exception of one, said they are voting to leave the EU. One person was undecided.

 

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One Response to “If UK does vote for Brexit, how long will it take to actually leave the EU?”

  1. peugeott says:

    Don’t worry it isn’t going to happen, to think the elites would trust the serfs with such an important matter? no chance, they know the result now-remain.

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